CEIAS

ASEAN should admit defeat over Myanmar

Expectations that the Southeast Asian bloc could have been effective were misplaced. Lurking within the cacophony of condemnations of ASEAN’s “handling” of the crisis in Myanmar, of its utter failure to move the military junta an inch towards compromise or retreat, is a lament that here was a chance for the bloc to prove its… Continue reading ASEAN should admit defeat over Myanmar

China’s Secret “Blue Dragon” Strategy: Can US Containment Policy Succeed?

China’s “Blue Dragon” strategy seeks to upend Washington’s containment policy and breakout of strategic bottlenecks through leveraging national defence and development across four separate geographic frontiers. For Washington, addressing the China challenge must begin by rethinking policies no longer suitable to the challenge at hand.  To compete strategically with the United States (US) and undermine… Continue reading China’s Secret “Blue Dragon” Strategy: Can US Containment Policy Succeed?

We Know Microfinance Harms Cambodia’s Poor. What Can Be Done About It?

Much ink has been spilled identifying the many problems with the sector, but much less so about possible ways forward. Stripped of the realities of human selfishness and incompetence, microfinance seems a perfect model. Include the poor in the financial sector, give them small loans to invest in their business or purchase property, and they’ll… Continue reading We Know Microfinance Harms Cambodia’s Poor. What Can Be Done About It?

East Asian Reactions to Russia’s War in Ukraine: Governmental and Civil Society Responses

The reactions to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine vary in East Asia, from a clear condemnation (Japan, Singapore, Taiwan) to calculated opposition (South Korea) and cautious criticism (ASEAN, Indonesia); from neutrality (Vietnam) to diplomatic support (Myanmar, North Korea). The differences are most clearly explained by Realpolitik considerations, the nature of the political systems and perceptions on… Continue reading East Asian Reactions to Russia’s War in Ukraine: Governmental and Civil Society Responses

The Presidential Elections in the Philippines: China’s win in waiting?

Free public domain CC0 photo.

Although the presidential vote in the Philippines seems to have not set off any alarm clocks in the West, the election of Bongbong Marcos has the potential to result in major implications for global politics. Indeed Southeast Asia is increasingly becoming a focus of the US-China strategic rivalry. And Mr Marcos is very likely to… Continue reading The Presidential Elections in the Philippines: China’s win in waiting?

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