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Reviving the 1979 playbook: What NATO’s Cold War shift teaches the US-Japan-South Korea alliance

As tensions rise across both the Taiwan Strait and the Korean Peninsula, the United States, Japan, and South Korea face an increasing risk of a two-front crisis—one that ominously recalls the strategic shock of 1979. Key takeaways: China’s escalating military pressure on Taiwan and North Korea’s advancing nuclear arsenal, compounded by deepening Russia–North Korea ties,… Continue reading Reviving the 1979 playbook: What NATO’s Cold War shift teaches the US-Japan-South Korea alliance

A threat from within: Chinese espionage in Taiwan

China’s growing pressure on Taiwan is no longer confined to airspace violations and military drills; a renewed surge in espionage has forced Taiwan’s leadership to confront a deeper, systemic threat to its national security. Key takeaways: Chinese espionage operations in Taiwan are systematic, long-running, and increasingly sophisticated, targeting both military and civilian sectors. President Lai… Continue reading A threat from within: Chinese espionage in Taiwan

China’s deep-sea cable-cutting technology: A new front in hybrid warfare?

Technological advancements point to the growing risk to underwater infrastructure from China. Key takeaways: Recent reports regarding China’s deep-sea cable-cutting technology indicate an emerging trend toward the militarization of critical digital infrastructure. Current international legal frameworks, including the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS), do not provide sufficient protection for submarine… Continue reading China’s deep-sea cable-cutting technology: A new front in hybrid warfare?

Deal or no deal: What Indonesia should know when negotiating the US Liberation Day tariffs

Indonesia was one of the first countries to start negotiations with the United States over the “Liberation Day” tariffs imposed by the Trump administration. However, the prospects of a stable deal that could be accepted by both countries are hazy. Key takeaways: Jakarta must accept the possibility that the US might not view tariff negotiations… Continue reading Deal or no deal: What Indonesia should know when negotiating the US Liberation Day tariffs

Navigating uncertainty: Central European public opinion on geopolitics in 2025

Executive summary The Visegrad Four (V4) countries—Czechia, Hungary, Poland, Slovakia—are navigating increased global instability with diverging political responses to shifts in US policy, Russia’s war against Ukraine, and China’s growing international influence. These geopolitical dynamics are reflected in public attitudes towards global affairs and perceptions of the major powers (the US, China, Russia, the EU,… Continue reading Navigating uncertainty: Central European public opinion on geopolitics in 2025

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