An extended US review has cast uncertainty over the future of AUKUS, unsettling the partnership just as the United Kingdom and Australia formalize their commitments through the Geelong Treaty. Key takeaways: An ongoing review by Washington of AUKUS has unsettled the submarine pathway, reviving doubts about Washington’s willingness and capacity to follow through. The Geelong… Continue reading Testing AUKUS: America’s uncertainty, Britain’s bet, and Europe’s choices
Key takeaways: Beijing sees Moscow as its long-term strategic partner to reshape the international order, therefore has no serious intention to contradict Moscow’s interests in Ukraine. In spite of the contradictions with Beijing’s insistence on territorial sovereignty as a key principle of the international order, Beijing has provided vital economic and diplomatic support to Moscow… Continue reading Keeping Moscow onside – Beijing’s main priority in Ukraine
Belarus’ hopes of becoming a key node in China’s Belt and Road Initiative in Europe may be rekindled once Russia’s war against Ukraine comes to an end. Key takeaways: In June 2025, China and Belarus reaffirmed their strategic relationship. During President Lukashenko’s “family-style” visit to China, both leaders emphasized their “all-weather comprehensive strategic partnership” and… Continue reading A gateway or a dead end? Belarus and China’s Belt and Road Initiative
As transatlantic relations face significant turbulence, China has emerged as a challenging and potentially dangerous partner for Europe. In that case, could India offer a new source of hope for Poland and the old continent? Key takeaways: In August 2024, Prime Minister Narendra Modi visited Poland, elevating Polish-Indian relations to the status of a “strategic… Continue reading India: A third way between the United States and China?
With global tensions rising and resources increasingly stretched, Europe would be better served by strengthening its own security posture rather than committing resources to largely symbolic naval deployments in the Indo-Pacific. Key takeaways: Reflecting the Indo-Pacific’s growing importance to European prosperity and security, European states have increasingly stepped up their naval presence in the region.… Continue reading Bolstering European naval presence in the Indo-Pacific: What´s the state of play?
